Investment Philosophy
We believe that successful outcomes are a result of a disciplined approach:
- Asset class exposure drives long-term investment returns
- Diversification across asset classes can reduce downside risk and improve returns
- Capital markets are mostly efficient and excessive investment costs can be eliminated
- Rebalancing is a cornerstone of a disciplined process
Our Bucketing Approach
- We use a bucketing approach (Equities, Diversifying Strategies, and US Investment Grade Bonds) to manage portfolios.
- Each asset category has different drivers of investment returns and risks.
- MCF builds each bucket and then allocates a percentage of assets to each bucket based on the client’s objective.
Equities
- Description: Operating businesses with long-term capital growth potential
- Investment Characteristics: Subject to high volatility due to cycle nature of economic factors
- Common Market Indices: Dow Jones Industrial Average (“Dow”), S&P 500, MSCI EAFE (Europe, Far-East, and Asia), MSC Emerging Markets Index
- Asset Category Examples: US and International Equities
U.S. Investment Grade Bonds
- Description: Debt instruments with full economic stability, preservation of capital and high liquidity
- Investment Characteristics: Low volatility, low correlation to equity risk, low credit risk
- Common Market Indices : Bloomberg Barclays US Aggregate Bond, Bloomberg Barclays U.S. Government/Credit 1-3 Year, Bloomberg Barclays US Treasury
- Asset Category Examples : US government bonds and high-quality US corporate bonds (BBB-rated or better)
Diversifying Strategy Investments
- Description: Investments that tend to move independently of equities and US Investment Grade Bonds
- Investment Characteristics: Potential for returns to exceed long-term inflation
- Common Market Indices: Bloomberg Barclays Global Aggregate Bond ex USD, Bloomberg Commodity, Bloomberg Barclays High Yield
- Asset Category Examples: International and High Yield Bonds, Commodities, Absolute/Real Return strategies, Private Equity, Private Debt, & Direct Real Estate
Market Efficiency Views
Definitions:
Efficient Market – prices reflect known information, low probability to outperform the index/benchmark
Inefficient Market – market anomalies exist, less coverage, potential to outperform exists
Passive Investing - attempt to match/replicate the index/benchmark
Active Investing – attempt to outperform the index/benchmark
Why Passive for Efficient? Generally low cos broad exposure, not worth paying higher fees for low probability of outperforming the index/benchmark
Why Active for Inefficient? Greater potential for out-performance, may reduce risk, but fees higher
Potential areas to mix A & P? In moderately efficient or less inefficient markets, mixing passive and active still provides broad market exposure but with a potential to outperform, while keeping costs low
Empirical Data - U.S. Large Cap Stocks
- Large Cap U.S. Equity is believed to be highly efficient
- Overall discrete periods analyzed, active management has been, at best, a coin flip. One out of every four managers has out-performed the benchmark (SP500 Index)
- Rolling Analysis shows median performance topping out around 1%, but many periods show negative performance verses the benchmark
- Evidence supports using a passive or risk mitigated strategies